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Avir Base turns every real customer into an agent, fitted to how they actually buy. Test a price, an offer or a competitor's move on them, and see the outcome before you commit.
Every forecast is tested on your own past months before you see it, and shows how far off it was.
Surveys hear what customers say. Your data knows what they do.
What people say and what they do drift apart, and so do a team's assumptions. Avir doesn't ask. It learns each customer from what they bought, renewed and let lapse.
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Illustrative examples. Your simulations run on your own customers.
Start with your customers. Everything else follows.
Your customers, as agents
Connect your data. Each customer becomes an agent with their own habits: how often they buy, how much, and when they might stop.
Change one thing
A price, an offer, a competitor's move, the season or the weather, in a world that's otherwise exactly yours.
See where behaviour goes
Orders and revenue month by month, by group, with the range they'll likely land in. Then make it a plan, or a task.
A forecast with every customer in it.
Thousands of runs of your customers, with the range they land in. Then the same customers again with one thing changed, so the difference is the decision and nothing else.
- Price +10%
- −1.6%revenue
- A competitor 20% cheaper for resellers
- −17.6%revenue
- Resellers only
- −25.6%
- Off on past months it hadn't seen
- 0.7%orders
The world outside your business, in every run
Your own year, learnt from your history
Public and bank holidays, by country
Temperature and rain where you trade
Monthly, public data
ECB reference rates
Series and reports you upload
Competitor watch · Northwind cut its Pro plan from $49 to $39 a month. Simulate it, or see the task in Competitors.
Questions Avir can answer.
Tested on your past. Every time.
Before Avir shows you a forecast, it replays your recent months it hasn't seen and tells you how close it came.
Backtested
Every forecast replayed on your own recent months, with its error and a trust grade.
Calibrated
Changes you really made in the past check how strongly the agents react.
Only what helps
Outside data is kept only when it makes the forecast measurably better.
Everything a simulation needs, built in.
Simulations are only as real as the data under them, and only as useful as what you do next.
Real customers, so the agents are real.
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Read the results, and your business.
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Turn what you learn into plans and tasks.
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Bring us the decision you're stuck on.
$60 per person a month, with AI credits included. We'll set up your first simulation with you.