Use case · Economic scenarios
Economic scenarios
Run your customers through a weaker currency, rising costs or a slowdown, and find the plans that hold up in all of them.
Questions Avir answers
- 01What does a 10% swing in the exchange rate do to our demand?
- 02If costs rise and we pass them on, how do customers react?
- 03Which of our plans still works if the year turns out worse?
The situation
A consumer brand had to pass on higher costs after its currency weakened.
Assumed
A 5% rise across the range will go unnoticed.
Simulated
Customers stretched the time between orders by about two weeks. Revenue was flat, not up 5%.
Raise prices on best-sellers only, and hold the rest.
An illustrative example. Your simulations run on your own customers.
What the simulation shows
The result, by customer group.
Every scenario comes back as a month-by-month forecast with its range, and the difference for each group of customers.
Scenario
Currency −10%, prices +5% to cover costs
Revenue +0.2%, not +5%
Orders over the year, against today's rates and prices
What goes into it
What you need to get started.
Your data
- Orders, invoices or subscriptions, each with a customer, a date and an amount
The world outside
- Exchange rates
- Fuel prices
- Your own monthly series, such as costs
Time and cost
- A forecast in seconds, once your data is connected
- A scenario with the AI panel in about a minute
- The cost in AI credits is shown before anything runs