Use case · Plans & targets

Plans & targets

Turn a simulation into a plan, then watch it against what really happens and hear when it drifts.

Questions Avir answers

  1. 01Is next year's target reachable, and what has to be true for it?
  2. 02Which assumptions in our plan matter most?
  3. 03We're three months in. Are we on track, and if not, why?

The situation

A finance team set a revenue target of +15% for the year.

Assumed

The target is in reach if marketing hits its numbers.

Simulated

Even in the better runs, churn capped growth at about +9%. Only lower churn reached +15%.

What it points to

Set the target on retention, not acquisition.

An illustrative example. Your simulations run on your own customers.

What the simulation shows

The result, by customer group.

Every scenario comes back as a month-by-month forecast with its range, and the difference for each group of customers.

Scenario

A revenue target of +15% for the year

Reached in 7 runs out of 100

Growth each group adds in the middle run

New customers+7%
Regulars+3%
Price changes+2%
Churn−3%
Illustrative. Your results come from your own customers.

What goes into it

What you need to get started.

Your data

  • Orders, invoices or subscriptions, each with a customer, a date and an amount
  • Your plan or targets, if they're in a spreadsheet

The world outside

  • Seasons
  • Holidays

Time and cost

  • A forecast in seconds, once your data is connected
  • Scenarios without new behaviour run on the agents alone, in seconds
  • The cost in AI credits is shown before anything runs

Test a decision on your own customers.