Use case · Retention & churn

Retention & churn

See who renews, who lapses and when, and what changes it, for subscriptions and contracts alike.

Questions Avir answers

  1. 01Which customers are most likely to leave in the next three months?
  2. 02If we drop the annual discount, how many switch to monthly, and how many leave?
  3. 03Which contracts are at risk at renewal, and what are they worth?

The situation

A subscription business planned to remove its annual-plan discount.

Assumed

Annual customers will just renew at the full price.

Simulated

Most renewed, but the newest annual customers lapsed at twice the usual rate at their first renewal.

What it points to

Keep the discount for first renewals only.

An illustrative example. Your simulations run on your own customers.

What the simulation shows

The result, by customer group.

Every scenario comes back as a month-by-month forecast with its range, and the difference for each group of customers.

Scenario

Remove the annual-plan discount

Revenue +1.8% over the year

Renewals at the next renewal date, against no change

First-year annual−18%
Older annual−3%
Monthly0%
Big accounts−1%
Illustrative. Your results come from your own customers.

What goes into it

What you need to get started.

Your data

  • Subscriptions or contracts with their start, renewal and end dates
  • Plan and price of each

The world outside

  • Seasons

Time and cost

  • A forecast in seconds, once your data is connected
  • A scenario with the AI panel in about a minute
  • The cost in AI credits is shown before anything runs

Test a decision on your own customers.